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Form Revised: February 2005

 
                                               TORONTO TRANSIT COMMISSION

                                                                   REPORT NO.

 

 

 

MEETING DATE:      September 12, 2007

 

 

SUBJECT:                  TTC ACTIONS IN RESPONSE TO CITY BUDGET CRISIS

 

                                                                                                                                                             

 

 

RECOMMENDATIONS

 

It is recommended that the Commission:

 

1.                   Receive the results of the public consultations, noting that the preferred funding alternatives were as follows:

 

·                                                         547% said “raise taxes”

·                                                         456% said “raise fares”; and

·                                                         3227% said “cut service”

 

2.                   Note that the previously estimated 2008 TTC budget shortfall of about $104 million has been reduced by $10 million to $94 million, as a result of (i) the TTC signing a long-term contract to busy diesel fuel at a fixed price ($7 million reduction in 2008) and (ii) the deferral on July 20, 2007 of the service budgeted to be added in the fall of 2007 and the delay in opening of Mount Dennis Garage to at least February 17, 2008 ($3 million reduction in 2008);

 

3.                   Approve the implementation of the 2007 and 2008 service, starting on February 17, 2008, that is required to maintain service at the approved long-standing service standards to ensure that crowding is maintained at “tolerable” levels, noting that

 

·                                                         77 bus and streetcar routes – or almost half of the TTC’s system – is operating with crowding in excess of the prescribed standards;

·                                                         the operation of bus and streetcar routes with overcrowding results in reduced quality of service to customers and a deterioration in reliability and regularity of service, because it takes people longer to get to/from the doors in crowded vehicles, so the buses and streetcars get delayed and become more prone to “bunching and gapping”;

;

 

4.                   Implement the 2007 and 2008 Ridership Growth Strategy (RGS) service improvements at peak periods and off peak periods (full day service on surface routes to match subway service hours), and open Mount Dennis Garage, estimated at a cost of about $20+10 million in 2008, provided funding is available;

 

5.                   Do not implement reductions to poor performing routes at this time. Staff will continue to review these routes should it prove necessary to eliminate some or all of them at a future date.

 

 

6.                   Implement an “across the board” 15¢ fare increase (15¢ on adult ticket/token fares and prorated for most others) in November 2007 and implement an additional change to monthly Metropasses equivalent to the cost of two additional adult ticket/token fares (about $11 4 per monthly pass) to generate about $39 million in net extra revenue.  . The new fare structure is detailed in Appendix BC2 of this report;

 

7.                   Continue the other cost containment initiatives approved by the Commission on July 20, 2007, until further notice;

 

8.                   Take actionNote that the effect of all of the previous recommendations is to have reduced the TTC’s 2008 budget shortfall from the previous $104 million to $55 million, if the RGS initiatives are operated and Mount Dennis Garage is opened, or to $35 million if they are not.

 

9.                   Take  action to establish a long term sustainable funding strategy for transit. Such an arrangement would put an end to the current situation of the TTC lurching from year to year adding then cutting service due to uncertain operating funding availability;

 

10.               Forward this report to the City of Toronto, the Greater Toronto Transportation Authority, the Province of Ontario, and the Government of Canada;

 

11.               Forward this report to the adjacent municipalities and transit agencies, for information.

 

11.Note that the effect of all of the previous recommendations is to have reduced the TTC’s 2008 budget shortfall from the previous $104 million to $55 million, if the RGS initiatives are operated and Mount Dennis Garage is opened, or to $36 34 million if they are not.

 

 

FUNDING

 

THIS SECTION TO BE RE-DONE WITH A SUMMARY TABLE OF ALL PLUS’S AND MINUS’S AND NET REMAINING SHORTFALL

 

 

The 2008 high-level pro-forma budget, before considering the recommendations in this report, was as follows:

 

 

2007

2008

Change

Expenses

$1,083 million

$1,211 million

$128 million

Revenues

$811 million

$835 million

$24 million

Subsidy

$272 million

$376 million

$104 million

 

The net $104 million increase is made up of $3093 million for increased labour costs, $16 million for health and dental cost increases, $47 million for inflationary costs including items like diesel fuel and opening Mount Dennis Garage, and $35 million for additional service. Offsetting these amounts is $24 million in additional revenue (before a fare increase).

 

The $35 million for service is broken down as follows:

 

Annualization of 2007 increases                          $15 million ($20 million full year)

Ridership Growth Strategy service increases       $ 7 million

Service to accommodate additional ridership        $13 million

Total                                                                            $35 million

 

 

 

After incorporating the items recommended for approval in this report, the 2008 shortfall will have been reduced from $104 million down to $55 million (if the Ridership Growth Strategy initiatives are operated) or $35 million (if the RGS services are not operated and Mount Dennis Garage is not opened) as follows:

 

             Previous estimated shortfall                               $104 million

             Cost reductions (recommendation #2)    ($10) million

             Fare increase (recommendation #6)                   ($39) million

                                                                                      $55 million

             2007 and 2008 Ridership Growth

             Ridership Growth Strategy (rec. #4)                                          ($210) million

                                                                                      $345 million

 

It should be noted that the TTC’s 2008 Operating Budget will be presented to the Commission on November 14, 2007 for final approval. That budget will incorporate any approvals made by the Commission at this meeting and will also include any other finalised figures resulting from the detailed budget review process the Commission is presently undergoing internally.

Cost-containment actions implemented to date by the TTC would reduce the TTC’s operating costs by $__ in 2007 and, if carried through all of 2008, would reduce operating costs by $____ in 2008. The recommendations in this report, if approved, would result in an increase in fare revenues of $6 million in 2007 and $34 million in 2008. This report also contains information on optional service eliminations which, if acted upon by the Commission, would reduce TTC operating costs in 2008 by up to $25.6 million.

 

 

 

BACKGROUND

 

The City of Toronto is currently facing a financial crisis. It is projected that the City will have a funding shortfall, or deficit, next year of approximately $575 million.

 

 

 
The City Manager has directed that all agencies, boards, commissions, and departments reduce operating costs to help the City eliminate this financial deficit. The TTC, in particular, has been asked to reduce its operating costs by $100 million in 2008. This is equal to approximately xx8% of the TTC’s total operating budget, or approximately 237% of the total current operating subsidy for budgeted by the TTC for 2008.

 

At its meeting of July 20, 2007, the Commission received a presentation by the Chief General Manager pertaining to possible cost-containment measures, and approved the following motions:

 

·                                                         That service additions planned for September 2007 to reduce overcrowding be deferred indefinitely.

·                                                         That the Mount Dennis Garage opening be postponed until at least January 2008.

 

 


·                                                         That the Commission meeting of August 29, 2007 be cancelled to allow staff time to prepare properly, and that a regular commission meeting be convened on September 12, 2007.

·                                                         That staff report back on all options for a fare increase to the next regular meeting of the Commission, including scenarios that minimise the impact on Metropass prices.

·                                                         That staff, in consultation with the Chair and Vice-chair, begin a community consultation and communication process, providing an interim report at the next regular Commission meeting on the following:

1.                                                                               All options for a fare increase

2.                                                                               Consultation with the affected communities on the reduction or elimination of service on the poorest-performing bus routes in the city, including the notification of local councillors of consultations within their wards

3.                                                                               Mechanisms for the possible elimination of service on the Sheppard Subway

·                                                         Report back to the next regular Commission meeting on a strategy for minimising or eliminating layoffs, with specific reference to saving through attrition in the TTC workforce in the event that service cuts are made.

·                                                         Communicate to TTC Employees that the Commission prefers this option.

·                                                         That staff advise the City Manager of the identified opportunities and actions for cost containment, with updates as they become available

·                                                         That staff, using 1996 as the base year, report back at the next regular Commission meeting on each and every new position that has been added, including front-line, back -end, supervisor and management, with a business case analysis for each position.

·                                                         That staff be directed to conduct a study of the economic and environmental impact of service reductions and decreasing transit use.

·                                                         That the Chief General Manager be requested to report back on the potential impact of postponing the extension of the Spadina Subway.

·                                                         That the cost containment items noted on page 11 of the Chief General Manager’s presentation be implement immediately; and further that all Commission travel be cancelled for the balance of the year.

The requests for reports back on workforce changes and the Spadina Subway Extension are addressed in separate reports which are also on today’s agenda. This current report addresses the main requests pertaining to possible cost-containment measures, with particular emphasis on already-directed and possible additional service reductions and eliminations.

 

Our recommended approach to addressing the budget crisis is consistent with the results of the consultation process.

 

 

 

 

 

DISCUSSION

 

Cutting service or increasing fares could not come at a worse time for the TTC or for transit customers in Toronto. Over the last 10 years, TTC ridership has been steadily increasing after a period of ridership decline in the early and mid-1990s. Torontonians have been riding transit in increasing numbers, whether because of the increases in the price of gasfuel, or in response to concerns over greenhouse gases and climate change, or because they are individually recognizing the ride-and-go convenience of transit compared to the hassles of driving, traffic congestion, parking, and being “anchored” to a car.   TTC ridership was projected to reach all time highs in 2007 and 2008.   After a more than two years of three-year period of overcrowding on routes and the associated deterioration in service quality, the TTC had gone to extraordinary efforts to acquire the buses necessary, and to hire and train the hundreds of drivers employees necessary, to accommodate Toronto’s unabated appetite for more transit service.   Progress was being made on implementing the Ridership Growth Strategy (RGS)  of service increases and fare incentives.   The Transit City plan, which calls for a network of new light rail lines across Toronto, was released earlier this year, and the Province of Ontario has committed funding to implement the plan. The TTC was being to be a main driver in achieving the sustainable transportation objectives of both the Toronto Official Plan and the pro-transit strategic direction of the Greater Toronto Transportation Authority.   All of these positive steps are now in serious jeopardy because of the requirement for the TTC to reduce its operating budget.   

No private-sector business would flatline or cutback availability of its best-selling products when demand was at an all-time high.

 

 

The Commission Directive to Not Implement Service Improvements Planned for 2007

 

The Commission directive of July 20, 2007 to cancel defer all service increases planned and scheduled for implementation in the fall of 2007, has been implemented.   The planned improvements were hugsignificante,. and so will be the inconvenience and losses to transit riders losses to the riding public from this cancellation.   In total, 303 service increases on 77 bus and streetcar routes were planned for the fall of 2007 and will now not be made. The routes with cancelled service increases are shown in Exhibit 1, attached. In total, 117 additional peak buses had been scheduled to be put into service in the fall of 2007.

 

In many cases, the service increases to reduce overcrowding had already been deferred for over two years, because there have been insufficient buses and Operators available since Mthe March, 2005 to operate the required and warranted service. Through the purchase of additional buses and, increases in Operator hiring and training and the advancement of construction of the new Mount Dennis Bus Garage, and training, botheach of which require long lead times, the TTC had finally positioned itself to add these long-awaited required services starting in the fall of 2007.

 

The failure for a third straight year to add this necessary service will further worsens the daily travel experiences of existing TTC customers and deters new customers because of   continued overcrowding;. It will also worsen the reliability of service on many routes because it takes longer for customers to move in overcrowded buses and streetcars so the services fall further and further behind schedule;, will suppress further ridership increases as customers avoid overcrowded and unreliable bus and streetcar service;, and will cause some existing customers to stop using the TTC because of the poor service.

 

Examples of the overcrowding that will continue because of the deferral of these service increases can be found throughout Toronto. The 196 York University Rocket has had steadily-increasing ridership: as far back as early 2006, ridership in the afternoon peak period had already reached an average of 59 people per bus, over the established loadingcrowding standards for buses. The 29 Dufferin bus route requires additional service at most times of the week. During the afternoon peak period, there are approximately 61 people per bus, well above the applicable loading crowding standards and, even in the late evening from Monday to Friday, the average is 48 passengers per bus, well in excess of the off-peak loadingcrowding standards.   On the 100 Flemingdon Park bus route, ridership counts in the fall of 2006 showed that, in the late evening , from Monday to Friday, there was an average of 50 people per bus, while on   Sunday evenings, there are were approximately 65 people per bus, a level of crowding well worse than one would expect or tolerate during peak periods.  As a customer recently wrote in a complaint to the TTC about the route: “The service provided on the 100 Flemingdon Park route on Sunday nights is intolerable. The buses at that time of night are full to the doors, and in some cases, leaving passengers still waiting at the station. This is not the only occurrence of this problem, as it happens every night, but is worse on weekend evenings/late evenings.” These comments are typical of the complaints about overcrowded service that have been received in increasing numbers in the last two years.

 

Under the current Commission directive, staff will take no action to address any of these and the many other overcrowding situations.   However, if the Commission wants to retain, at a minimum, the customer base it currently has, then the Commission should increase fares and use the revenues from such an increase to implement the additional service and capacity necessary to keep crowding within the approved standards. This would mean that about 26% of the peak-period service improvements originally-planned for the fall would be implemented. A decision by the Commission by mid-October, 20087 would allow implementation of these improvements on February 17, 2008. The fare increase required to support these service improvements is described later in this report.

 

The concurrent decision by the Commission, at its meeting of July 20, 2007, to also cancel defer the Ridership Growth Strategy (RGS) peak period service increases – which were budgeted for and scheduled for implementation in the Ffall of 2007 -- will also inconvenience customers and will fail to deliver long-promised service increases that were specifically designed to improve service and attract more people to the TTC. The Ridership Growth Strategy was approved by the Commission in 2003. A number of resulting service and fare improvements were introduced in 2004-2006. It took until 2007 before the peak period service increases could be planned for introduction on bus routes, because it was necessary to purchase 100 additional buses, hire and train sufficient additional Operatorsemployees, and build an additional bus garage to relieve overcrowding at the existing six garages and to accommodate a larger bus fleet. The RGS peak period increases would have reduced the planned maximum crowding levels on all bus routes by 10 per cent.

 

The RGS peak-period service increases would have immediately introduced a significant improvement in service across the TTC network, on the busiest routes, at the busiest times of travel. Service would operate more frequently on the busy routes, bringing service levels closer to those of the 1980s and early 1990s when the TTC ridership was at its height; service would operate more reliability,reliably, because buses wouldn’t face as many delays due to overcrowding and long boarding times; and overall, ridership would continue to increase as existing customers would use the service more often, because of the more-frequent service, and new customers would be attracted to the TTC by the improved service. Despite having to wait almost five years since the Ridership Growth Strategy was introduced, with the new garage built, and with the additional new accessible buses bought, paid for, and on their way to Toronto, these improvements are currently not going to bewill now  implemented.

 

 

The provision of more peak-period capacity and more-reliable service is a key component of both Toronto’s Official Plan and the GTTA’s strategic direction to establish greater passenger-carrying capacity in the GTA and to, thereby, reduce traffic congestion, greenhouse gases, and pollution. There are clear economic and environmental benefits to proceeding with these improvements. This service should be introduced in 2008 if funds are made available.

Therefore, the Commission should ask the GTTA and the Province of Ontario for the financial resources to implement these strategic improvements. The cost of implementing these improvements would be $___ in 2008 (assuming a February 17, 2008 implementation) and $___ annually thereafter.

 

 

 

The Commission Directive to Not Opening Mount Dennis Garage

 

The Commission approved the construction of the new Mount Dennis bus garage in October 2004. The garage was scheduled to open in the fall of 2007. At its meeting of July 20, 2007, the Commission directed that the opening of the garage be delayed until at least 2008. This will reduce budgeted operating costs in 2007 by up to $2 million and, if the garage were to not open in 2008 either, this would reduce projected operating costs by $7 million in 2008 (.the costs of opening Mount Dennis Garage are included in the costs of adding the Ridership Growth Strategy service in Recommendation 4., above).

 

The new garage is required for the introduction of substantially increased peak-period services, and especially for the introduction of the planned Ridership Growth Strategy (RGS)  peak period service. The current six TTC bus garages have been operating well over their rated capacity for several years. The number of buses planned to be in service was to increase by 117 in 2007, and a further 41 for increased ridership in 2008, for a total of 160 158 additional buses in service in 2007 and 2008. It is not possible to operate this larger bus fleet with the six existing garages; the additional capacity provided by the new garage will be required for these service increases to proceed.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New Accessible and Bike-Rack Services Will Be Delayed

 

Deferral of the opening of Mount Dennis Garage will impair staff’s ability to introduce accessible and bike-rack bus service on new routes. All of the approximately 410 new buses being delivered in 2007 and 2008 will be low-floor accessible buses, and will have bike racks. The introduction of new accessible service and new bike-rack service was to progress simultaneously, starting in the Ffall of 2007. More than 20 new accessible routes had been planned to be introduced in November 2007, when Mount Dennis Garage was to open, with additional routes to be made accessible in stages throughout 2008. The selection of these new accessible routes is a fairly complicated process which must take into account, among other things, connectivity to accessible subway stations, the percentage of senior citizens using the routes, the concentration of Wheel-Trans registrants in a route’s market area, requests from customers, and the ability to move these buses between their designated routes and their home garage in an efficient way. As a result of the decision to delay the opening of the new Mount Dennis Garage, a revised accessibility and bike-rack plan will have to be developed by staff, and new accessible service and bike rack service will not be able to be introduced until later in 2008.

 

The Commission Request for More Cost-Reduction Options

 

At its meeting of meeting of July 20, 2007, the Commission requested staff to identify additional cost-reduction opportunities.   Staff have identified such opportunities but, for the reasons outlined below, are recommending that the Commission not implement these options. Also reported here are specific requests which have been found to be not effective means of reducing costs.as set out below:

 

Option:   Do Not Increase Service to Accommodate Ridership Increases Forecast for 2008:

NOT RECOMMENDED

 

The draft 2008 Service Budget included significant additional service at peak and off-peak times that would be required to meet the projected increaseing in ridership throughout the year. This additional service, which includes 41 additional peak vehicles and approximately 57,000 annual hours of service, is similar in scale to the service increases for increasing ridership that were budgeted for 2007, but were cancelleddeferred. The additional service in 2008 is required because ridership is projected to increase to approximately 476-millionover 470 million annual trips. (not including the effects of possible service reductions and fare increases). The additional service is required to keep crowding levels at peak times and at off-peak times from exceeding the Commission-approved crowding standards. The service is budgeted to be added throughout 2008; the actual service increases would be scheduled only if and when warranted by passenger counts. If ridership does not increase and routes do not become overcrowded, then the service is would not be added.

 

If the budgeted 2008 service increases for overcrowding were to be eliminated from the 2008 budget, the net direct cost savings would be $4.35.413 million in 2008. This does not include foregone revenue from ridership growth that would not be realised.    This cost-reducing option is not recommended for implementation:; failure to add this service, when required by increasing crowding, would negatively affect transit customers. Routes would continue to be overcrowded, as they have been for much of the last two three years. Service reliability would decline, as busy routes would continue to fall behind schedule as a result of overcrowded buses and streetcars. Some customers who ride the overcrowded routes would stop using the TTC, and potential ridership growth would not be realised as fewer new customers would choose to use transit because of the poor service.   It is very expensive and difficult to attract back existing customers who decide that they no longer wish to use transit for their travel. If the Commission wants to retain, at a minimum, the customer base it currently has, and to accommodate the ridership increases projected for 2008 as a result of Toronto’s economic growth, then the Commission should increase fares and use the revenues from such an increase to implement the additional service and capacity necessary to keep crowding within the approved standards.

 

Option:   Do Not Implement Ridership Growth Strategy Off-Peak Service Improvements Planned for 20082008 : NOT RECOMMENDED

 

 

An important second phase of the Ridership Growth Strategy (RGS) in 2008 was to be the full‑time operation of all TTC bus and streetcar routes throughout the system. These changes were intended to bring predictable and reliable TTC service to all Toronto neighbourhoods. Transit would become a viable travel option for more people because it would be available throughout the day and evening, thus making transit available for the majority of travel needs. This widespread availability of transit service would make all of Toronto a “Transit City”.

 

When fully implemented, substantially all bus and streetcar routes would operate from about 6:00  a.m. to 1:00 a.m., every daythree .   If the RGS off-peak increases which were budgeted for implementation in 2008 were to be eliminated removed from the 2008 budget, the net direct cost savings would be $7.3 million in 2008. This service should continue to be included in the 2008 budget if we can afford to do so.This does not include foregone revenue from ridership growth that would not be realised. This potential cost-reduction option is not recommended for implementation: Implementation of off-peak services on routes where such service is currently missing will provide a more-complete and reliable off-peak service network necessary for people to adopt a transit-oriented lifestyle. This is a key component of the Ridership Growth Strategy’s staged approach to making Toronto a truly transit city.

 

 

Option:   Eliminate Services with Poor Financial Performance : NOT RECOMMENDED

 

 

Every year, TTC staff  evaluate the ridership and financial performance of all TTC bus and streetcar routes, comparing them to the Commission-approved financial criteria. For every period of service on every bus or streetcar route in the TTC system, the change in ridership per dollar of net cost change is calculated. This is the number of customers who would no longer use the TTC for each dollar of net cost savings if the service were removed. Research on customers’ behaviour has shown that the ridership effects of eliminating service or raising fares balance at 0.23 customers gained or lost per dollar spent or saved. This standard was developed in the mid-1990s, and has been re-evaluated several times since then. Compared to the use of a simple ridership/cost ratio, or a comparison of passenger boardings per unit of service operated, the current standard is a more-sophisticated way of determining the financial performance of routes, as it takes into consideration available route alternatives, passenger behaviour, and the actual projected ridership loss from making specific service cut decisions.

 

The latest financial evaluation, using ridership and service data from 2006 and 2007, identifies 52 routes that have one or more periods of service during which the financial performance does not meet the TTC’s standard value of 0.23 change in customers per dollar of net cost change. The entire list is attached as Appendix AA, and is shown on the map in Exhibit 2.

 

If all of the poor-performing routes and services were to be eliminated, 37 routes or parts of routes would be eliminated entirely, and 16 routes would no longer operate at certain times of the week. There are 12 million trips made each year by TTC customers on these services. Eliminating these services is projected to reduce annual TTC ridership by approximately 1.3 million trips. These possible service cuts would reduce TTC annual net direct operating costs by approximately $13 million (or $11.5 million if implemented in February 2008); this includes lost fare revenue from the lost ridership.

 

This potential cost-reduction option is not recommended for implementation:; Eeliminating these services would be inconsistent with the results of the public consultation process and would bring considerable hardship to many current TTC customers, as they would be forced to walk farther, wait longer, take a longer and more round-about route, make additional transfers, or stop using transit altogether. Eliminating service on this scale was last done in the mid-1990s, and coincided with a substantial drop in overall TTC ridership. The effects of major service eliminations and reductions, especially when combined with substantial fare increases, are well known. Declining ridership, declining revenue, and upward pressure on subsidies all contribute to the classic “downward spiral”, similar to that experienced by the TTC in the 1990s. The Ridership Growth Strategy was specifically intended to reverse the effects of that period.   A decision to eliminate the poor-performing routes would undermine the objectives of the Strategy. It would require many years to re-attract the customers who would find alternative ways to travel when the services are eliminated, even if funding were to become available, at a later date, to restore the services.

 

Options Examined But Which Would Not Achieve Net Cost Reductions

 

Eliminating or Cutting Back Rapid Transit Services

 

Rapid transit service is the backbone of transit in Toronto. Approximately 65 per cent of TTC customers use the subway for part of their trip. Customers enjoy the speed, comfort, and reliability of subway service, compared to bus and streetcar operations in mixed traffic on the road network. A considerable number of TTC customers would not use public transit if the subway was not available to them. In the 53 years that the TTC has operated subways, a recommendation serious consideration has never before been given to closingmade to close parts of the rapid transit network. Indeed, permanent closures of functioning and well-used rapid transit lines are almost unheard of in the transit industry. The closure of a functioning, well-used rapid transit line would be an unprecedented step that would cause long-term harm to the transit system, to transit customers, and to the quality of life in Toronto.

 

Sheppard Subway, Scarborough RT, and Spadina Subway

 

The Commission proposed suggested closing the Sheppard Subway, as a possible cost-reduction measure. Staff have evaluated this proposal in detail, and have also evaluated the closure of the Scarborough RT and the Spadina Subway, north of St Clair West Station. These two other proposals have been evaluated because they have similar ridership to the Sheppard Subway. Full closure of these lines, as well as closure only during the late evenings and only on weekends, has been evaluated.

 

In most cases, there would be virtually no short-term savings resulting from the closure of any of these rapid transit services. Ridership on all three lines is high enough that the replacement bus service required to replace the subway is so great that the operating cost savings from closing the subway would be less than the increase in operating costs for the replacement bus service. While reductions in the replacement bus service level would likely be achievable in future years, as customers are driven away from using the TTC because of the poorer quality service, there are no substantial immediate savings possible from closing rapid transit lines and replacing the service with buses.

 

 

Closing the Sheppard Subway and the Spadina Subway north of St Clair West Station on weekends is projected to produce a small annual operating cost savings, between approximately $200,000 and $330,000 per line. Given the relatively small cost savings, and the considerable inconvenience that would be caused to customers, this is not recommended.

 

Current average weekday ridership on the Sheppard Subway is 43,000 customer-trips, or approximately 13.2 million rides per year. Ridership on the Sheppard Subway has increased since it opened, and ridership along the Sheppard Subway corridor from Don Mills Station to Sheppard-Yonge Station is now approximately three times higher than in 2001, the last full year of bus operation. If the Sheppard Subway were to be closed, the TTC would lose approximately 1.5 million rides per year, over the medium term, as customers would stop using transit because of the longer travel time, less comfortable ride, and reduced service reliability. Similar effects would be felt by customers if the Scarborough RT or Spadina Subway were to be closed. The number of customers that would be lost to the TTC would be approximately 1.4-million per year if the Scarborough RT were closed, and approximately 2.1-million per year of the Spadina Subway were to be closed.

 

Late Evening Subway Service

 

Staff have also evaluated ending all subway and RT service earlier in the evening, when ridership is lighterlower. Two scenarios were examined – ending all service at approximately 11:30 p.m., and at 12:30 a.m. As with the other proposals to close parts of the rapid transit network, a full closure of the entire rapid transit network at 11:30 p.m. or 12:30 a.m. would not result in short-term operating cost savings, because of the large number of buses required to replace the service provided by the subway.

 

The Commission Directive to Undertake Public Consultation on Service Eliminations

 

Commission policy, established in the mid-1990s after the last major round of route eliminations was carried out, is to carry out public consultation about possible route eliminations. As directed by the Commission at its meeting of July 20, 2007, the first step of this consultation was launched on August 27 and ran until September 10, 2007. The TTC conducted a survey with its riders and the general public to obtain feedback on various alternatives to address the funding shortfall. The survey was conducted from August 27 to September 10, and was available to respondents electronically, and as a brochure. The brochure was available on all TTC vehicles, was handed out by TTC staff, and Commissioners, Councillors, the Budget Chief and the Mayor at subway stations, shopping malls, and post-secondary institutions, and was promoted by vehicle and station advertising, through the Metro free newspaper, and with public address announcements at all subway stations. The survey and brochure are attached as Appendix B. Summarized below are preliminary results for key survey elements based on data that had been collected, as of September 7. Although the results are considered interim, it is not expected that there will be any material change to the findings when the data from the second week is included. The results will be updated with data from the second week of the survey and a detailed presentation of the full results will be made by TTC staffavailable at the September 12 meeting.

                                     

TTC Public Consultation Survey Preliminary Results

 

Commission policy, established in the mid-1990s after the last major round of route eliminations, is to carry out public consultation about possible route eliminations. As directed by the Commission at its meeting of July 20, 2007, the first step of this consultation was launched in late August 2007. The TTC conducted a survey with its riders and the general public to obtain feedback on various alternatives to address the funding shortfall. The survey was conducted from August 27 to September 10, and was available to respondents in both electronic and hard copy format. The survey was accompanied by a brochure explaining the dynamics of the financial situation faced by the City and the TTC, and provided a framework for riders to provide their feedback. The brochure was available on all TTC vehicles, was handed out by TTC staff, Commissioners, Councillors, the Budget Chief and the Mayor at subway stations, shopping malls, and post-secondary institutions, and was promoted by vehicle and station advertising, through the Metro free newspaper, and public address announcements at all subway stations, and with media announcements. The survey and brochure are attached as Appendix B. Summarized below are preliminary results for key survey elements based on data that had been collected, as of September 7. The results will be updated with data from the second week of the survey and a detailed presentation of the full results will be available at the September 12 meeting.

                                     

TTC Public Consultation Survey Preliminary Results

 

Number of respondents:  approximately 17,400

Percent who are City of Toronto residents:  87%

Daily users of TTC:  69% (Toronto residents)

Metropass users:  47% (Toronto residents)

No access to other modes of transportation:  62% (Toronto residents)

 

Impact of service cuts:

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Toronto Residents

905 Residents

Driving

29%

44%

Riding with someone else

12%

12%

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