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Form Revised: February 2005
TORONTO TRANSIT COMMISSION
REPORT NO.
MEETING DATE: September
12, 2007
SUBJECT: TTC
ACTIONS IN RESPONSE
TO CITY BUDGET CRISIS
RECOMMENDATIONS
It
is recommended that the Commission:
1.
Receive the results of the
public consultations, noting that the preferred funding alternatives were as
follows:
·
547%
said “raise taxes”
·
456%
said “raise fares”;
and
·
3227%
said “cut service”
2.
Note that the previously
estimated 2008 TTC budget shortfall of about $104 million has been reduced by
$10 million to $94 million, as a result of (i) the TTC signing a long-term
contract to busy
diesel fuel at a fixed price ($7 million reduction in 2008) and (ii) the
deferral on July 20, 2007 of the service budgeted to be added in the fall of
2007 and the delay in opening of
Mount Dennis Garage to at
least February 17, 2008 ($3 million reduction in 2008);
3.
Approve the implementation of
the 2007 and 2008 service, starting on February 17, 2008, that is required to
maintain service at the approved long-standing service standards to ensure that
crowding is maintained at “tolerable” levels, noting
that
·
77 bus and streetcar routes –
or almost half of the TTC’s system – is operating with crowding in excess of
the prescribed standards;
·
the operation of bus and
streetcar routes with overcrowding results in reduced quality of service to
customers and a deterioration in reliability and
regularity of service, because it takes people longer to get to/from
the doors in crowded vehicles, so the buses and streetcars get delayed and become
more prone to “bunching and gapping”;
;
4.
Implement the 2007 and 2008
Ridership Growth Strategy (RGS) service
improvements at peak periods and off peak periods (full day service on surface
routes to match subway service hours), and open
Mount Dennis Garage, estimated
at a cost of about $20+10
million in 2008, provided funding is available;
5.
Do not implement reductions to
poor performing routes at this time. Staff will continue to review these routes
should it prove necessary to eliminate some or all of them at a future date.
6.
Implement an “across the board”
15¢ fare increase (15¢ on adult ticket/token fares and prorated for most
others) in November 2007 and implement an additional change to monthly
Metropasses equivalent to the cost of two additional adult ticket/token fares
(about $11 4 per
monthly pass) to generate about $39
million in net extra revenue. .
The new fare structure is detailed in Appendix BC2 of
this report;
7.
Continue the other cost
containment initiatives approved by the Commission on July 20, 2007, until
further notice;
8.
Take actionNote that
the effect of all of the previous recommendations is to have reduced the TTC’s
2008 budget shortfall from the previous $104 million to $55 million, if the RGS
initiatives are operated and Mount Dennis Garage is opened, or to $35 million
if they are not.
9.
Take action to
establish a long term sustainable funding strategy for transit. Such an
arrangement would put an end to the current situation of the TTC lurching from
year to year adding then cutting service due to uncertain operating funding
availability;
10.
Forward this report to the City
of Toronto, the Greater Toronto Transportation Authority, the Province of
Ontario, and the Government of Canada;
11.
Forward this report to the
adjacent municipalities and transit agencies, for information.
11.Note that
the effect of all of the previous recommendations is to have reduced the TTC’s
2008 budget shortfall from the previous $104 million to $55 million, if the RGS
initiatives are operated and Mount
Dennis Garage is opened, or to $36 34 million if
they are not.
FUNDING
THIS
SECTION TO BE RE-DONE WITH A SUMMARY TABLE OF ALL PLUS’S AND MINUS’S AND NET
REMAINING SHORTFALL
The 2008 high-level
pro-forma budget,
before considering the recommendations in this report, was as
follows:
|
|
2007 |
2008 |
Change |
|
Expenses |
$1,083
million |
$1,211
million |
$128
million |
|
Revenues |
$811
million |
$835
million |
$24
million |
|
Subsidy |
$272
million |
$376
million |
$104
million |
The
net $104 million
increase is made up of $3093
million for increased labour
costs, $16
million for health
and dental cost increases, $47 million for inflationary
costs including items like diesel fuel and opening Mount
Dennis Garage, and $35 million for additional
service. Offsetting
these amounts is $24 million in additional
revenue (before a
fare increase).
The $35 million for service
is broken down as follows:
Annualization of
2007 increases $15 million ($20 million full year)
Ridership Growth Strategy service
increases $ 7
million
Service to accommodate
additional ridership $13
million
Total $35
million
After incorporating
the items recommended for approval
in this report, the 2008 shortfall will
have been reduced from
$104 million down to $55 million
(if the Ridership Growth Strategy initiatives are operated) or $35 million (if
the RGS services are not operated
and Mount Dennis Garage is not opened) as
follows:
Previous
estimated shortfall $104
million
Cost
reductions (recommendation #2) ($10)
million
Fare
increase (recommendation #6) ($39)
million
$55 million
2007 and
2008 Ridership Growth
Ridership
Growth Strategy
(rec. #4) ($210)
million
$345 million
It should be noted
that the TTC’s 2008 Operating
Budget
will be presented to the Commission on November 14, 2007 for final approval.
That budget will incorporate any approvals made by the
Commission at this meeting
and will also include any
other finalised figures resulting from
the detailed budget review process the Commission is presently undergoing internally.
Cost-containment
actions implemented to date by the TTC would reduce the TTC’s operating costs
by $__ in
2007 and, if carried through all of 2008, would reduce operating costs by $____
in 2008. The recommendations in this report, if approved, would result in an
increase in fare revenues of $6 million in 2007 and $34 million in 2008. This
report also contains information on optional service eliminations which, if
acted upon by the Commission, would reduce TTC operating costs in 2008 by up to
$25.6 million.
BACKGROUND
The City of Toronto is currently
facing a financial crisis. It is projected that the City will have a funding
shortfall, or deficit, next year of approximately $575 million.
The City
Manager has directed that all agencies, boards, commissions, and departments
reduce operating costs to help the City eliminate this financial deficit. The
TTC, in particular, has been asked to reduce its operating costs by $100
million in 2008. This is equal to approximately
xx8% of
the TTC’s total operating budget, or approximately 237%
of the total current
operating subsidy for budgeted by
the TTC for 2008.
At its meeting of July 20, 2007,
the Commission received a presentation by the Chief General Manager pertaining
to possible cost-containment measures,
and approved the following motions:
·
That service additions planned
for September 2007 to reduce overcrowding be deferred indefinitely.
·
That the Mount Dennis Garage
opening be postponed until at least January 2008.
·
That the Commission meeting of
August 29, 2007 be cancelled to allow staff time to prepare properly, and that
a regular commission meeting be convened on September 12, 2007.
·
That staff report back on all
options for a fare increase to the next regular meeting of the Commission,
including scenarios that minimise the impact on Metropass prices.
·
That staff, in consultation with
the Chair and Vice-chair, begin a community consultation and communication
process, providing an interim report at the next regular Commission meeting on
the following:
1.
All options for a fare increase
2.
Consultation with the affected
communities on the reduction or elimination of service on the
poorest-performing bus routes in the city, including the notification of local
councillors of consultations within their wards
3.
Mechanisms for the possible
elimination of service on the Sheppard Subway
·
Report back to the next regular
Commission meeting on a strategy for minimising or eliminating layoffs, with
specific reference to saving through attrition in the TTC workforce in the
event that service cuts are made.
·
Communicate to TTC Employees
that the Commission prefers this option.
·
That staff advise the City
Manager of the identified opportunities and actions for cost containment, with
updates as they become available
·
That staff, using 1996 as the
base year, report back at the next regular Commission meeting on each and every
new position that has been added, including front-line, back -end,
supervisor and management, with a business case analysis for each position.
·
That staff be directed to
conduct a study of the economic and environmental impact of service reductions
and decreasing transit use.
·
That the Chief General Manager
be requested to report back on the potential impact of postponing the extension
of the Spadina Subway.
·
That the cost containment items
noted on page 11 of the Chief General Manager’s presentation be implement
immediately; and further that all Commission travel be cancelled for the
balance of the year.
The requests for reports back on
workforce changes and the
Spadina Subway Extension are addressed in separate reports which are also on
today’s agenda. This current report addresses the main requests pertaining to
possible cost-containment measures, with particular emphasis on
already-directed and possible additional
service reductions and eliminations.
Our recommended approach to
addressing the budget crisis is consistent with the results of the consultation
process.
DISCUSSION
Cutting
service or increasing fares could not come at a worse time for the TTC or for
transit customers in Toronto. Over
the last 10 years, TTC ridership has been steadily increasing after a period of
ridership decline in the early and mid-1990s. Torontonians have been riding
transit in increasing numbers, whether because of the increases in the price of
gasfuel,
or in response to concerns over greenhouse gases and climate change, or because
they are individually recognizing the ride-and-go convenience of transit
compared to the hassles of driving, traffic congestion, parking, and being
“anchored” to a car. TTC
ridership was projected to reach all time highs in 2007 and 2008. After
a more
than two years of three-year
period of overcrowding on routes and the
associated deterioration in service quality, the TTC had gone to extraordinary
efforts to acquire the buses necessary, and to hire and train the hundreds of
drivers employees necessary,
to accommodate Toronto’s unabated appetite for more transit service. Progress
was being made on implementing the Ridership Growth Strategy (RGS)
of
service increases and fare incentives. The
Transit City plan, which calls for a network of new light rail lines across
Toronto, was released earlier this year, and the Province of Ontario has
committed funding to implement the plan. The TTC was being to be a
main driver in achieving the sustainable transportation objectives of both the
Toronto Official Plan and the pro-transit strategic direction of the Greater
Toronto Transportation Authority. All of these positive steps are now in serious
jeopardy because of the requirement for the TTC to reduce its operating budget.
No private-sector business
would flatline or cutback availability of its best-selling products when demand
was at an all-time high.
The
Commission Directive to Not Implement Service
Improvements Planned for 2007
The
Commission directive of July 20, 2007 to cancel defer all
service increases planned and scheduled for
implementation in the fall of 2007, has been implemented. The
planned improvements were hugsignificante,. and so
will be the inconvenience and losses to transit
riders losses to the riding
public from this cancellation. In
total, 303 service increases on 77 bus and streetcar routes were planned for
the fall of 2007 and will now not be made. The routes with cancelled service
increases are shown in Exhibit 1, attached. In total, 117 additional peak buses
had been scheduled to be put into service in the fall of 2007.
In
many cases, the service increases to reduce overcrowding had already been
deferred for over two years, because there have been insufficient buses and
Operators available since Mthe March,
2005 to operate the required and
warranted service. Through the purchase of
additional buses and,
increases in Operator hiring and training and the
advancement of construction of the new
Mount Dennis Bus Garage, and
training, botheach of
which require long lead times, the TTC had finally positioned itself to add
these long-awaited required services starting in the fall of 2007.
The
failure for a third straight year to add this necessary service will further
worsens
the daily travel experiences of existing TTC customers and deters
new customers because of continued
overcrowding;. It
will also worsen
the reliability of service on many routes because it takes longer for customers
to move in overcrowded buses and streetcars so the services fall further and
further behind schedule;,
will suppress further ridership increases as customers avoid overcrowded and
unreliable bus and streetcar service;,
and will cause some existing customers to stop using the TTC because of the
poor service.
Examples
of the overcrowding that will continue because of the deferral of these service
increases can be found throughout Toronto. The 196 York
University Rocket has
had steadily-increasing ridership:
as far back as early 2006, ridership in the afternoon peak period had already
reached an average of 59 people per bus, over the established loadingcrowding
standards for buses. The 29 Dufferin
bus route requires additional service at most times of the week. During the
afternoon peak period, there are approximately
61 people per bus, well above the applicable loading
crowding standards
and, even in the late evening from Monday to Friday, the average is 48
passengers per bus, well in
excess of the off-peak loadingcrowding
standards. On
the 100 Flemingdon
Park bus route, ridership counts in
the fall of 2006 showed that, in the late evening , from
Monday to Friday, there was an average of 50 people per bus, while on Sunday
evenings, there are were
approximately 65 people per bus,
a level of crowding well worse than one would expect or tolerate during peak
periods. As a customer recently wrote in a complaint to
the TTC about the route: “The
service provided on the 100 Flemingdon Park route on Sunday nights is intolerable. The
buses at that time of night are full to the doors, and in some cases, leaving
passengers still waiting at the station. This is not the only occurrence of
this problem, as it happens every night, but is worse on weekend evenings/late evenings.”
These comments are typical of the complaints about overcrowded service that
have been received in increasing numbers in the last two years.
Under
the current Commission directive, staff will take no action to address any of
these and the many other overcrowding situations. However,
if the Commission wants to retain, at a minimum, the customer base it currently
has, then the Commission should increase fares and use the revenues from such
an increase to implement the additional
service and capacity necessary
to keep crowding within the approved standards. This would
mean that about 26% of the peak-period service improvements originally-planned
for the fall would be implemented. A
decision by the Commission by mid-October, 20087
would allow implementation of these improvements on February 17, 2008. The fare
increase required to support these service improvements is described later in
this report.
The
concurrent decision by the Commission, at its meeting of July 20, 2007, to also
cancel defer the
Ridership Growth Strategy (RGS) peak
period service increases – which were budgeted for and
scheduled for implementation in the Ffall
of 2007 --– will also
inconvenience customers and will
fail to deliver long-promised service increases that were specifically designed
to improve service and attract more people to the TTC. The Ridership Growth
Strategy was approved by the Commission in 2003. A number of resulting service
and fare improvements were introduced in 2004-2006. It took until 2007 before the
peak period service increases could be planned for introduction on bus routes,
because it was necessary to purchase 100 additional buses, hire and train
sufficient additional Operatorsemployees,
and build an additional bus garage to relieve overcrowding at the existing six
garages and to accommodate a larger bus fleet. The RGS peak period increases
would have reduced the planned maximum crowding levels on all bus routes by 10
per cent.
The
RGS peak-period service increases would have immediately introduced a
significant improvement in service across the TTC network, on the busiest
routes, at the busiest times of travel. Service would operate more frequently
on the busy routes, bringing service levels closer to those of the 1980s and
early 1990s when the TTC ridership was at its height; service would operate
more reliability,reliably,
because buses wouldn’t face as many delays due to overcrowding and long
boarding times; and overall, ridership would continue to increase as existing
customers would use the service more often, because of the more-frequent
service, and new customers would be attracted to the TTC by the improved
service. Despite having to wait almost
five years since the Ridership Growth Strategy was introduced, with the new
garage built, and with the additional new accessible buses bought, paid for,
and on their way to Toronto, these improvements are currently
not going to bewill now implemented.
The
provision of more peak-period capacity and more-reliable service is a key
component of both Toronto’s Official Plan and the GTTA’s strategic direction to
establish greater passenger-carrying capacity in the GTA and to, thereby,
reduce traffic congestion, greenhouse gases, and pollution. There are clear
economic and environmental benefits to proceeding with these improvements. This
service should be introduced in 2008 if funds are made available.
Therefore, the Commission
should ask the GTTA and the Province of Ontario for the financial resources to
implement these strategic improvements. The cost of implementing these
improvements would be $___ in 2008
(assuming a February 17, 2008 implementation) and $___ annually
thereafter.
The
Commission Directive to Not
Opening
Mount Dennis Garage
The
Commission approved the construction of the new Mount Dennis bus garage in
October 2004. The garage was scheduled to open in the fall of 2007. At its
meeting of July 20, 2007, the Commission directed that the opening of
the garage be delayed until at least 2008. This will reduce budgeted operating
costs in 2007 by up to $2
million and, if the garage were to not open in 2008 either, this would reduce projected operating
costs by $7 million in 2008 (.the
costs of opening Mount Dennis Garage are included in the costs of adding the
Ridership Growth Strategy service in
Recommendation 4., above).
The
new garage is required for the introduction of substantially increased
peak-period services, and especially for the introduction of the planned
Ridership Growth Strategy (RGS) peak
period service. The current six TTC bus garages have been operating well over
their rated capacity for several years. The number of buses planned to be in
service was to increase by 117 in 2007, and a further 41 for increased
ridership in 2008, for a total of 160
158 additional
buses in service in 2007 and 2008. It is not possible to operate this larger
bus fleet with the six existing garages; the additional capacity provided by
the new garage will be required for these service increases to proceed.
New
Accessible and Bike-Rack Services Will Be Delayed
Deferral
of the opening of Mount Dennis Garage will impair staff’s ability to introduce
accessible and bike-rack bus service on new routes. All of the approximately
410 new buses being delivered in 2007 and 2008 will be low-floor accessible
buses, and will have bike racks. The introduction of new accessible service and
new bike-rack service was to progress simultaneously, starting in the Ffall
of 2007. More than 20 new accessible routes had been planned to be introduced
in November 2007, when Mount Dennis Garage was to open, with additional routes
to be made accessible in stages throughout 2008. The selection of these new
accessible routes is a fairly complicated process which must take into account,
among other things, connectivity to accessible subway stations, the percentage
of senior citizens using the routes, the concentration of Wheel-Trans
registrants in a route’s market area, requests from customers, and the ability
to move these buses between their designated routes and their home garage in an
efficient way. As a result of the decision to delay the opening of the new
Mount Dennis Garage, a revised accessibility and bike-rack plan will have to be
developed by staff, and new accessible service and bike rack service will not be able to be introduced
until later
in 2008.
The Commission Request for More Cost-Reduction Options
At
its meeting of meeting
of July 20, 2007, the Commission requested staff to identify additional cost-‑reduction
opportunities. Staff
have identified such opportunities but, for
the reasons outlined below, are recommending that the Commission not implement
these options. Also reported here are specific requests which have been found
to be not effective means of reducing costs.as set out below:
Option: Do Not Increase
Service to Accommodate Ridership
Increases Forecast for 2008:
NOT RECOMMENDED
The
draft 2008 Service Budget included significant additional service at peak and
off-peak times that would be required to meet
the projected increaseing in
ridership throughout the year. This additional service, which includes 41
additional peak vehicles and approximately 57,000 annual hours of service, is
similar in scale to the service increases for increasing ridership that were
budgeted for 2007, but were cancelleddeferred.
The additional service in 2008 is required because ridership is projected to
increase to approximately 476-millionover 470 million annual
trips. (not
including the effects of possible service reductions and fare increases). The
additional service is required to keep crowding levels at peak times and at
off-peak times from exceeding the Commission-approved crowding standards. The
service is budgeted to be added throughout 2008; the actual service increases
would be scheduled only if and when warranted by passenger counts. If ridership
does not increase and routes do not become overcrowded, then the service is would
not be added.
If
the budgeted 2008 service increases for overcrowding were to be eliminated from
the 2008 budget, the net direct cost
savings would be $4.35.413
million in 2008. This does not include
foregone revenue from ridership growth that would not be realised. This
cost-reducing option is not recommended for implementation:;
failure to add this service, when required by increasing crowding, would
negatively affect transit customers. Routes would continue to be overcrowded,
as they have been for much of the last two
three years.
Service reliability would decline, as busy routes would continue to fall behind
schedule as a result of overcrowded buses and streetcars. Some customers who
ride the overcrowded routes would stop using the TTC, and potential ridership
growth would not be realised as fewer new customers would choose to use transit
because of the poor service. It
is very expensive and difficult to attract back existing customers who decide
that they no longer wish to use transit for their travel. If the Commission
wants to retain, at a minimum, the customer base it currently has, and to
accommodate the ridership increases projected for 2008 as a result of Toronto’s
economic growth, then the Commission should increase fares and use the revenues
from such an increase to implement the additional
service and capacity necessary
to keep crowding within the approved standards.
Option: Do Not
Implement Ridership
Growth Strategy Off-Peak Service Improvements
Planned for 20082008 : NOT
RECOMMENDED
An
important second phase of the Ridership Growth Strategy (RGS)
in 2008 was to be the full‑time
operation of all TTC bus and streetcar routes throughout the system. These
changes were intended to bring predictable and reliable TTC service to all
Toronto neighbourhoods. Transit would become a viable travel option for more
people because it would be available throughout the day and evening, thus
making transit available for the majority of travel needs. This widespread
availability of transit service would make all of Toronto a “Transit City”.
When
fully implemented, substantially all bus and streetcar routes would operate
from about 6:00 a.m.
to 1:00 a.m., every daythree . If
the RGS off-peak increases which were budgeted for implementation in 2008 were
to be eliminated removed from
the 2008 budget, the net direct cost
savings would be $7.3 million in 2008. This
service should continue to be included in the 2008 budget if we can afford to
do so.This does not include
foregone revenue from ridership growth that would not be realised. This
potential cost-reduction option is not recommended for implementation:
Implementation of off-peak services on routes where such service is currently
missing will provide a more-complete and reliable off-peak service network
necessary for people to adopt a transit-oriented lifestyle. This is a key
component of the Ridership Growth Strategy’s staged approach to making Toronto
a truly transit city.
Option: Eliminate Services
with Poor Financial Performance : NOT
RECOMMENDED
Every
year, TTC staff evaluate
the ridership and financial performance of all TTC bus and streetcar routes,
comparing them to the Commission-approved financial criteria. For every period
of service on every bus or streetcar route in the TTC system, the change in
ridership per dollar of net cost change is calculated. This is the number of
customers who would no longer use the TTC for each dollar of net cost savings
if the service were removed. Research on customers’ behaviour has shown that
the ridership effects of eliminating service or raising fares balance at 0.23
customers gained or lost per dollar spent or saved. This standard was developed
in the mid-1990s, and has been re-evaluated several times since then. Compared
to the use of a simple ridership/cost ratio, or a comparison of passenger
boardings per unit of service operated, the current standard is a
more-sophisticated way of determining the financial performance of routes, as
it takes into consideration available route alternatives, passenger behaviour,
and the actual projected
ridership loss from making specific service cut decisions.
The
latest financial evaluation, using ridership and service data from 2006 and
2007, identifies 52 routes that have one or more periods of service during
which the financial performance does not meet the TTC’s standard value of 0.23
change in customers per dollar of net cost change. The entire list is attached
as Appendix AA,
and is shown on the map in Exhibit 2.
If
all of the poor-performing routes and services were to be eliminated, 37 routes or parts of routes would
be eliminated entirely, and 16 routes would no longer operate at certain times
of the week. There are 12 million trips made each year by TTC customers on
these services. Eliminating these services is projected to reduce annual TTC
ridership by approximately 1.3 million trips. These possible service cuts
would reduce TTC annual net direct operating costs by approximately $13 million (or $11.5 million if implemented in
February 2008); this includes lost fare
revenue from the lost ridership.
This
potential cost-reduction option is not recommended for implementation:; Eeliminating
these services would be inconsistent with the
results of the public consultation process and would bring
considerable hardship to many current TTC customers, as they would be forced to
walk farther, wait longer, take a longer and more round-about route, make additional
transfers, or stop using transit altogether. Eliminating service on this scale
was last done in the mid-1990s, and coincided with a substantial drop in
overall TTC ridership. The effects of major service eliminations and
reductions, especially when combined with substantial fare increases, are well
known. Declining ridership, declining revenue, and upward pressure on subsidies
all contribute to the classic “downward spiral”, similar to that experienced by
the TTC in the 1990s. The Ridership Growth Strategy was specifically intended
to reverse the effects of that period. A
decision to eliminate the poor-performing routes would undermine the objectives
of the Strategy. It would require many years to re-attract the customers who
would find alternative ways to travel when the services are eliminated, even if
funding were to become available, at a later date, to restore the services.
Options Examined But Which Would
Not Achieve Net Cost Reductions
Eliminating
or Cutting Back Rapid Transit Services
Rapid
transit service is the backbone of transit in Toronto. Approximately 65 per
cent of TTC customers use the subway for part of their trip. Customers enjoy
the speed, comfort, and reliability of subway service, compared to bus and
streetcar operations in mixed traffic on the road network. A considerable
number of TTC customers would not use public transit if the subway was not
available to them. In the 53 years that the TTC has operated subways, a
recommendation serious consideration
has never before been given to
closingmade to close
parts of the rapid transit network. Indeed, permanent closures of functioning
and well-used rapid transit lines are almost unheard of in the transit
industry. The closure of a functioning, well-used rapid transit line would be
an unprecedented step that would cause long-term harm to the transit system, to
transit customers, and to the quality of life in Toronto.
Sheppard
Subway, Scarborough RT, and Spadina Subway
The
Commission proposed suggested closing
the Sheppard Subway, as a possible cost-reduction
measure. Staff have evaluated this proposal in detail, and have also evaluated
the closure of the Scarborough RT and the Spadina Subway, north of St Clair
West Station. These two other proposals have been evaluated because they have
similar ridership to the Sheppard Subway. Full closure of these lines, as well
as closure only during the late evenings and only on weekends,
has been evaluated.
In
most cases, there would be virtually no short-term savings resulting from the
closure of any of these rapid transit services. Ridership on all three lines is
high enough that the replacement bus service required to replace the subway is
so great that the operating cost savings from closing the subway would be less
than the increase in operating costs for the replacement bus service. While
reductions in the replacement bus service level would likely be achievable in
future years, as customers are driven away from using the TTC because of the
poorer quality service, there are no substantial immediate savings
possible from closing rapid transit lines and replacing the service with buses.
Closing
the Sheppard Subway and the Spadina Subway north of St Clair West Station on
weekends is projected to produce a small annual operating cost savings, between
approximately $200,000 and $330,000 per line. Given the relatively small cost
savings, and the considerable inconvenience that would be caused to customers,
this is not recommended.
Current
average weekday ridership on the Sheppard Subway is 43,000 customer-trips, or
approximately 13.2 million rides per year. Ridership on the Sheppard Subway has
increased since it opened, and ridership along the Sheppard Subway corridor
from Don Mills Station to Sheppard-Yonge Station is now approximately three times
higher than in 2001, the last full year of bus operation. If the Sheppard
Subway were to be closed, the TTC would lose approximately 1.5 million rides
per year, over the medium term, as customers would stop using transit because
of the longer travel time, less comfortable ride, and reduced service
reliability. Similar effects would be felt by customers if the Scarborough RT
or Spadina Subway were to be closed. The number of customers that would be lost
to the TTC would be approximately 1.4-million per year if the Scarborough RT
were closed, and approximately 2.1-million per year of the Spadina Subway were
to be closed.
Late
Evening Subway Service
Staff
have also evaluated ending all subway and RT service earlier in the evening,
when ridership is lighterlower.
Two scenarios were examined – ending all service at approximately
11:30 p.m., and at 12:30 a.m. As with the other
proposals to close parts of the
rapid transit network, a full closure
of the entire rapid transit network at 11:30 p.m. or 12:30 a.m. would not
result in short-term operating cost savings, because of the large number of
buses required to replace the service provided by the subway.
The Commission Directive to
Undertake Public
Consultation on Service Eliminations
Commission
policy, established in the mid-1990s after the last major round of route
eliminations was carried out,
is to carry out public consultation about possible route eliminations. As
directed by the Commission at its meeting of July 20, 2007, the first step of
this consultation was launched on August 27
and ran until September 10,
2007. The TTC conducted a survey with its riders and the general public to
obtain feedback on various alternatives to address the funding shortfall. The
survey was conducted from August 27 to September 10, and was available to
respondents electronically, and as a brochure. The brochure was available on
all TTC vehicles, was handed out by TTC staff, and
Commissioners, Councillors,
the Budget Chief and the Mayor at
subway stations, shopping malls, and post-secondary institutions, and was
promoted by vehicle and station advertising, through the Metro free newspaper,
and with public address announcements at all subway stations. The survey and
brochure are attached as Appendix B. Summarized below are preliminary results
for key survey elements based on data that had been collected, as of September
7. Although the results
are considered interim, it is not expected that there will be any material
change to the findings when the data from the second week is included. The
results will be updated with data from the second week of the survey and a
detailed presentation of the full results will be made by TTC staffavailable at
the September 12 meeting.
TTC
Public Consultation Survey
Preliminary Results
Commission
policy, established in the mid-1990s after the last major round of route
eliminations, is to carry out public consultation about possible route
eliminations. As directed by the Commission at its meeting of July 20, 2007,
the first step of this consultation was launched in late August 2007. The TTC
conducted a survey with its riders and the general public to obtain feedback on
various alternatives to address the funding shortfall. The survey was conducted
from August 27 to September 10, and was available to respondents in both
electronic and hard copy format. The survey was accompanied by a brochure
explaining the dynamics of the financial situation faced by the City and the
TTC, and provided a framework for riders to provide their feedback. The
brochure was available on all TTC vehicles, was handed out by TTC staff,
Commissioners, Councillors, the Budget Chief and the Mayor at subway stations,
shopping malls, and post-secondary institutions, and was promoted by vehicle
and station advertising, through the Metro free newspaper, and public address
announcements at all subway stations, and
with media announcements.
The survey and brochure are
attached as Appendix B. Summarized
below are preliminary results for key survey elements based on data that had
been collected, as of September 7. The results will be updated with data from
the second week of the survey and a detailed presentation of the full results
will be available at
the September 12 meeting.
TTC
Public Consultation Survey Preliminary Results
Number
of respondents: approximately
17,400
Percent
who are City of Toronto residents: 87%
Daily
users of TTC: 69% (Toronto residents)
Metropass
users: 47% (Toronto residents)
No
access to other modes of transportation:
62% (Toronto residents)
Impact
of service cuts:
|
Switch
To |
Toronto
Residents |
905
Residents |
|
Driving |
29% |
44% |
|
Riding
with someone else |
12% |
12% |
|
Continue
to use TTC |